Analysis for July 4th, 2012
NZD/USD
We may assume that the price is forming
diagonal triangle pattern with the second wave inside it. It looks like an ascending
zigzag pattern may be completed in the nearest future. We can’t exclude a possibility that during this week the pair may make a reverse and start falling down inside the third wave.
If we take a look at more detailed wave structure, which is shown on the H1 chart, we can see that the price is forming
diagonal triangle pattern in wave
[C]. The current wave structure implies that wave
2 has already been finished and the price may start moving downwards. The short-term target is the level of 0.7800.
EUR/USD
It looks like the market is in the very beginning of the third wave. Euro may continue falling down after the local correction is finished. The target for the bears for the next several days is the level of 1.2000.
More detailed wave structure is shown on the H1 chart. After completing wave
2 in the form of
zigzag pattern, the price formed an initial impulse in wave
[1]. Currently the pair is being corrected inside the second wave. In the near term, we can expect the price to start moving downwards while forming wave
[3].